Executive Enrollment Snapshot

University-wide headcount, trend lines, and critical performance indicators — Fall 2020 through Fall 2024

Critical Enrollment Decline — 4-Year Trajectory

Total enrollment has declined 30% from 5,847 (Fall 2020) to 4,112 (Fall 2024). While new student recruitment shows recovery (+11% in 2024), continuing student attrition remains the primary driver of decline — losing 12% of continuing students in 2024 alone, the worst single-year drop on record.

Total Enrollment Fall 2024
4,112
▼ 27% from Fall 2020 (5,847)
Lowest since at least Fall 2019
Continuing Student Loss 2024
–359
▼ 12% year-over-year
3,298 continuing in 2023 → 2,891 in 2024
New Student Enrollments 2024
1,203
▲ +9% vs. 2022 (1,104)
Highest new student count since 2020
FTIC 5-Year Retention
21%
▼ 78% of freshmen leave within 5 years
FTIC Fall 2017 cohort (full-time)
Avg Class Size FY24
20
▼ Break-even requires 30 students
Down from 23 in FY19
Part-Time Student Share
61%
● Consistent across 2020–2023
Part-time students retain at lower rates

Total Enrollment Trend — Fall 2020 to Fall 2024

All students: Undergraduate + Post-Baccalaureate + Graduate
Total Enrollment Fall 2020–2024
SemesterTotal EnrollmentChange
Fall 20205,847
Fall 20214,368–613 (–12.3%)
Fall 20224,186–182 (–4.2%)
Fall 20233,905–281 (–6.7%)
Fall 20244,112–318 (–7.2%)

Enrollment by Student Level

UG vs. Graduate breakdown over time

New vs. Continuing Students

Recruiting is recovering — retention is the problem
Hispanic Students
40%
1,682 students — largest group
White Students
27.8%
1,265 students
African American
14.7%
682 students
First-Generation UG
61.7%
Majority are first-gen students
Female Students
65.2%
Gender split, Fall 2023
Avg Student Age
29.9
CSU average — older than typical

College & Program Health

Enrollment performance by college (COB, COEHP, CLASS, CNAS) and program-level trends, Fall 2020–2024

CNAS is the Only College Showing Growth

College of Natural & Applied Science is up 15% for UG and 20% for GR since 2020. All other colleges are declining — COB and CLASS have lost over 50% of graduate enrollment from 2020 levels.

Undergraduate Enrollment by College

Fall 2020–2024 headcount

Graduate Enrollment by College

Fall 2020–2024 headcount
College UG 2020 UG 2024 UG Change GR 2020 GR 2024 GR Change Trend
College of Business (COB) 1,119 723 –35% 798 377 –53% ⬇ Severe decline
Education & Health Prof (COEHP) 613 470 –23% 367 300 –18% ⬇ Moderate decline
Liberal Arts & Social Sci (CLASS) 1,713 804 –53% 225 156 –31% ⬇ Severe decline
Natural & Applied Science (CNAS) 467* 538 +15% 99* 119 +20% ⬆ Growing

*CNAS data first reported starting Fall 2022; relative change calculated from first available year.

Largest UG Programs — Fall 2023

Selected programs by headcount

Program Growth / Decline (2020→2023)

Notable movers within colleges
Program20202023Change
Psychology (CLASS)328279–15%
Accounting (COB)261194–23%
Kinesiology (COEHP)167153–8%
Computer Science (CNAS)143128–10%
Criminal Justice (CLASS)162108–33%
Bus Admin–Gen (COB)1551–99%
Gen Bus–Entrepreneurship243+2,050%
Digital Gaming & Sim3968+74%
Univ Studies BS2466+175%
Educ: Early Childhood63152+141%

Annual Graduate Degrees Awarded by College

Source: FuturEDFinance Academic Review 2024

Retention & Graduation

Cohort-based tracking of FTIC and Transfer students from entry through 5 years — the university's most critical vulnerability

FTIC Retention Is Critically Low — Only 22% Graduate in 5 Years

Of the 412 full-time FTIC students who enrolled in Fall 2017, only 86 had graduated by Year 5 (Fall 2022). The 1-year retention rate was 61%, meaning 39% of freshmen did not return for sophomore year. Nationally, regional universities average 65-75% first-year retention.

FTIC Cohort Funnel — Fall 2017 (Full-Time)

412 students tracked over 5 years
Year 0 (Entry)
412 enrolled
412
Year 1 (Fall 2018)
57% retained
199
Year 2 (Fall 2019)
39%
130
Year 3 (Fall 2020)
34%
114
Year 4 (Fall 2021)
20%
68
Year 5 — Graduated
21% grad rate
86

Transfer Cohort Funnel — Fall 2017 (Full-Time)

218 students tracked over 5 years — stronger performance
Year 0 (Entry)
218 enrolled
218
Year 1 (Fall 2018)
74% retained
162
Year 2 (Fall 2019)
43%
93
Year 3 (Fall 2020)
17%
37
Year 4 (Fall 2021)
6%
12
Year 5 — Graduated
58% grad rate
126

5-Year Graduation Rate by College

Transfer students, Fall 2017 entry cohort
College of Business 60%
College of Lib. Arts & Social Sciences 51%
College of Natural & Applied Science 50%
College of Education & Health Prof 49%
FTIC Full-Time (all colleges) 21%

Graduate 2-Year Retention by College

FY17–FY22 cohorts — FY22 shows sharp decline across all colleges

Annual Degrees Awarded (Bachelor's + Master's)

2020–2023 — Note sharp decline in 2023 partly due to Spring-only data

Recruitment Funnel

Applications → Admits → Enrolled conversion rates by student type, Fall 2020–2024

2024 Recruitment Showing Real Recovery

FTIC enrollments up 37.4% from 2023, attributed to J.A.G. Promise scholarships and full Admissions Counselor staffing. Overall new student enrollment is up 11% year-over-year. However, admit-to-enroll conversion rates remain low — FTIC conversion dropped to 12% in 2023 before recovering to ~13% in 2024.

FTIC Recruitment Funnel — 5 Year

Applications, Admits, and Enrolled counts

Transfer Recruitment Funnel — 5 Year

Transfer students: most stable pipeline segment
Student Type Fall 2020 Apps F2020 Enrolled F2020 Conv % Fall 2023 Apps F2023 Enrolled F2023 Conv % Fall 2024 Enrolled YoY Change
FTIC 3,264 407 12.5% 2,982 174 5.8% 239 +37.4%
Transfer 1,419 594 41.9% 1,035 456 44.1% 447 –2.0%
Graduate 762 314 41.2% 821 266 32.4% 271 +1.9%
Dual Credit 121 62 41 66.1% 83 +102%

International Student Enrollment

Sharp decline in Fall 2023 — recovery uncertain

Graduate Enrollment Funnel

Applications up in 2023; yield declining

New Undergraduate Enrollments by College

Post-pandemic recovery trends (Fall 2022–2024)

Financial Sustainability

Class size, cost structure, faculty workload, and program viability — Source: FuturEDFinance Academic Review, October 2024

Current Cost Structure Requires 30-Student Average Class — CSU Averages 20

The university needs to reach an average class size of 25 to achieve financial sustainability. Currently averaging 20. This gap is driven by too many low-enrolled degree concentrations (73% of graduate concentrations graduate 10 or fewer students per year) and a faculty headcount that has not been reduced to match declining enrollment.

Current Avg Class Size
20
▼ Break-even = 30 students
Down from 23 in FY2019
Target Avg Class Size
25
● Financial equilibrium threshold
~16-18 grad, 28-30 undergrad mix
Grad Concentrations at Risk
32/44
▼ 73% graduate ≤10 students/year
Represent only 22% of total grad degrees
Low-Enrolled UG Sections
36%
▼ 128 of 351 UG sections below threshold
Below 10-student cancellation threshold
Full-Time Instructors
115
● 64% FT / 36% PT instruction split
FTE student-to-faculty ratio: 25:1
UG Programs with No Grads
56/97
▼ 58% of concentrations inactive
No graduates in past 3 years

Graduate Average Class Size Trend

Target: 16–18 for graduate. All colleges below target and declining.

Undergraduate Average Class Size Trend

Target: 28–30 for undergraduate. Holding relatively stable but slipping.
College FTE Students FT Instructors Student:Faculty Ratio Gap to Ratio of 26 % Credits by FT % Credits by PT Avg Class Size
College of Business 704 32 22:1 –4.9 below target 77% 23% 21
Education & Health Prof 603 25 24:1 –1.8 below target 53% 47% 14
Liberal Arts & Social Sci 952 36 26:1 At target 69% 31% 24
Natural & Applied Science 604 22 27:1 Above target 61% 41% 23
Grand Total 2,863 115 25:1 64% 36% 21

Understanding Formula Funding

Each enrolled student generates funding based on course level × discipline weight × base rate ($59.08/SCH for FY24–25)
FORMULA

How Funding Is Calculated

Semester Credit Hours × Funding Discipline Rate × Base Rate = Weighted SCH. Each college/discipline has a different weight multiplier assigned by the Texas Legislature.

IMPACT

Enrollment Decline = Direct Revenue Loss

Every student lost directly reduces state appropriations. A 27% enrollment decline since 2020 translates to a proportional reduction in formula funding, compounding the structural cost problem.

DISCIPLINE RATES

Higher-Weight Programs Matter

Engineering (1.76×), Nursing (1.55×), and Science (1.34×) generate more funding per SCH than Business (1.10×) or Liberal Arts (1.00×). Growth in CNAS is strategically valuable for funding.

Course Delivery Mix

Instruction mode comparison — Spring 2025 vs. Spring 2026, and delivery location trends 2019–2023

Major Shift in Delivery Mode Between Spring 2025 and Spring 2026

ITV (Interactive Television) courses dropped from 109 to 0 sections — likely tied to satellite campus exit planned for Summer 2026. HyFlex courses jumped from 8 to 53 sections (+563%), and Face-to-Face courses increased from 171 to 177. This signals a significant operational transition underway.

Courses by Instruction Mode

Spring 2025 vs. Spring 2026 comparison

Spring 2026 Mode Distribution by College

Total sections Spring 2026: 547

Spring 2026

Face-to-Face177
Asynchronous Online289
HyFlex53
Synchronous Online14
Hybrid4
ITV0

Spring 2025

Face-to-Face171
Asynchronous Online283
HyFlex8
Synchronous Online16
Hybrid19
ITV109

Headcount by CSU Location — Fall 2023

Online dominates; on-campus is a small minority

Location Trend — Total Headcount

Multiple Locations and Online declining together
ONLINE MAJORITY

55% of Students Are Fully Online

2,111 of 3,784 students (Fall 2023) were enrolled fully online. This creates both opportunity (broader geographic reach) and risk (lower retention rates for online-only students).

KATY TRANSITION

Satellite Campus Exit — Summer 2026

The elimination of ITV courses (109 → 0) signals satellite campus wind-down. 145 students were enrolled at Satellite in Fall 2023. Retention of those students to the main campus or online delivery requires active management.

HYFLEX EXPANSION

HyFlex Adoption Surging in 2026

HyFlex sections jumped from 8 to 53 — a 563% increase. This hybrid in-person/online model could help address student feedback about course availability while building toward a "destination university" in the local region.

Strategic Context & Qualitative Insights

Themes from staff perception surveys, student feedback, and the FuturEDFinance academic review — the human story behind the numbers

These Insights Come From Internal Stakeholders — Not External Benchmarks

The feedback below was collected from CSU staff, faculty, and administrators. It represents perceived causes of enrollment decline and student attrition. These perceptions align strongly with the quantitative data and should be treated as institutional intelligence.

🎓

Theme 1: Advising, Academic Support & Retention

Consistently cited as the #1 driver of student departure — systemic, not isolated

"CSU has failed to take a hard look and make adjustments to address our historically dismal retention rate. There is a genuine lack of accountability across the entire campus regarding how crucial it is to retain the students we recruit."
"Our academic suspension policy... allows freshmen to accumulate three consecutive semesters of poor academic performance without facing suspension. There seems to be no proactive intervention."
"Students who need advising support are met with heavy workloads and burnout. The combination of excessive workloads and inadequate compensation can lead to diminished morale."
Recommended Response Actions:
  • Assign every student a primary advisor with required semester check-ins
  • Launch degree progress dashboards showing courses completed, remaining, and expected graduation date
  • Establish 48-hour advisor response standard
  • Implement proactive early-alert system (peer model: a peer institution intrusive advising)
📚

Theme 2: Course Availability & Program Relevance

Students leaving due to inability to complete degrees on time

"Students frequently reported delayed graduation because required courses were not offered consistently. Some required courses are taught by only one professor."
"Not offering enough high-in-demand programs that our students are looking for such as engineering and agriculture."
"Audit the academic program inventory. Work towards adding new curriculums that provide real opportunities while also cutting the antiquated, lower-performing programs."
Data Correlation:

73% of graduate concentrations graduate ≤10 students/year. 56 of 97 undergraduate concentrations have zero graduates in the past 3 years. These under-enrolled programs fragment faculty resources and reduce availability of high-demand courses.

💻

Theme 3: Online Learning Quality

Students feel disconnected — "teaching themselves" with minimal engagement

"Many students feel they are 'teaching themselves' in online classes. The bulk of courses are online."
"Not enough online courses" and "not enough face-to-face courses" — cited simultaneously, suggesting the issue is quality and availability, not modality preference alone.
Recommended Standards:
  • Weekly recorded lectures or instructional videos required in all online courses
  • Instructor engagement multiple times per week
  • Assignments graded within 48–72 hours
  • Standardized Canvas course templates and syllabi
💰

Theme 4: Financial Aid, Scholarships & Affordability

Losing students to competitors offering Promise scholarships and clearer aid timelines

"Freshman students have been told about full ride/promise scholarships over the past two years and this is exactly what they're looking for. We sent out pre-award letters in March — this was already too late."
"Lack of scholarships available for continuing students that are automatically awarded. Students shouldn't have to call Financial Aid to look for scholarships."
"Graduate school is expensive. Lack of scholarship funding. New graduate applicants do not receive Admissions communication from their schools except the College of Business."
👥

Theme 5: Staffing, Turnover & Institutional Memory Loss

Critical operational roles were lost at the worst possible time

"We lost: the Director of International Programs, the Director of Campus Solutions (17 years with CSU), a Campus Solutions Analyst (25+ years), two Financial Aid specialists, two Houston-area recruiters, the Registrar's office lost two staff members."
"Several staff members who wear multiple hats, not allowing them to focus on meeting specific goals and feeling burned out. We have lost a lot of great staff due to more competitive pay."
📊

National & Regional Demographic Headwinds Are Real

CSU's challenges exist within a broader sector-wide enrollment plateau

"For the last 5–7 years, all the data experts in the higher education space have warned about the Enrollment Cliff. Beginning in the mid to early 2020s, recruiting new students would become an increasing challenge due to fewer high school graduates. COVID-19 merely exacerbated the impacts of an already fragile recruitment landscape."

This context is important: some enrollment decline at CSU is structural and national. However, the severity of CSU's decline — particularly in retention — exceeds what can be attributed to demographics alone. The internal data strongly suggests operational and experiential factors are amplifying the external headwind.

🔴 High Impact / Urgent

Implement proactive advising model with mandatory check-ins and degree dashboards
Launch retention early-alert system to flag at-risk students before they stop out
Sunset or consolidate low-enrolled graduate concentrations (32 of 44 flagged)
Manage satellite campus student transition proactively before Summer 2026 exit

🟡 Medium Impact / Near-Term

Establish university-wide online course quality standards in Canvas
Publish 2-year course rotation schedules for all majors
Create One-Stop Student Services Center (financial aid + billing + registration)
Increase class size thresholds and eliminate sections below floor

🟢 Quick Wins / Operational

Send financial aid pre-award letters by January (not March)
Auto-award continuing student scholarships — eliminate application friction
Standardize all graduate programs admissions communication (not just COB)
Fill vacant recruiter and registrar positions to restore operational capacity

🔵 Strategic / Long-Term

Explore new high-demand programs (engineering, applied tech, healthcare)
Build "destination university" identity with expanded main campus F2F offerings
Cross-list courses within the the university system to improve viability of small programs
Develop 3–5 year enrollment projection model by college to guide planning

Dashboard Prepared by SparkLine Data Solutions

This dashboard synthesizes publicly shared institutional reports prepared by or for Coastal State University leadership. It does not contain individual student data. All figures are sourced from documents dated Fall 2023 through Spring 2026. Prepared to support academic planning conversations.

Contact: sparklinedatasolutions.com